Start with a detail and the whole picture emerges: latest CNN story.
Officials said the CIA did not know that the American, Ahmed Hijazi, was in the vehicle before it launched the “Predator” unmanned aircraft.
This report confirms that the CIA is acting using the same methodology as Israel does against key terrorist suspects. That is, whoever happens to be with them is essentially guilty and dead meat. The CNN article goes on to quote the nameless official as saying “it doesn’t change anything… if you’re an American citizen, it doesn’t mean you get a free pass to be a terrorist.” Perhaps they can confirm post mortum that the killed American was on their list of suspects, or perhaps the meaning is that if you happen to be with a suspected terrorist, you will be targeted as a terrorist. Does anyone remember the McCarthy era expression, “fellow travellers"?
Why would the United States, which for so many years has maintained costly jury trials and the principle of innocent until proven guilty, abandon it’s publically held policy against political assasinations and start a series of drone attacks without even knowing who all the victims will be?
Well the obvious and practical answer is, it isn’t easy to find these targets and one shot may be all they can get, they took the shot, got a terrorist, and really, even if there were 5 completely innocent riders in the car it would be a good deal compared to the thousands of innocent Afgans that lost their lives in the Bin Laden hunt or the tens or hundreds of thousands who will lose their lives in the upcoming hunt for Sadam. But there is yet another context to consider.
What will happen to the United States and in turn the world economy if more terrorist attacks occur? If the stock market is any indicator I’d estimate the U.S. economy took at least a sustained 15% hit with the loss of the twin towers, 3 airplanes, and around 3000 civilians. Those losses though incredible in terms of human suffering and shock are rather small in economic scale, no where near 15% of the United States economy.
But the financial system has many foundations, and one of them is confidence. In one sense money has value only because we as a group believe it has value. Yet before Sept. 11, that belief was already going through dramatic fluctuations. The roller coaster markets clearly reflect tremendous instability in the collective perception of value.
Unfortunately it can and might get much worse. The average American has a rather large credit card dept. As long as most of them keep working and getting paid at a certain level we expect the debt can ultimately be paid, or at least the interest will continue to be paid. At a certain low point in the shifting economic evaluation drama, it is possible that a new economic projection will begin to emerge - debt implosion. Behind the very tough militaristic facade there lies this everpresent insecurity.
In the event of another terrorist attack or even perhaps as continued economic fallout from the first attack, we may face a situation where the economy begins to implode much like the towers themselves did, with one floor crashing upon the next, that is, one projection of bankruptcy and debt failure leading to the next, until all loans and the value of capital itself become meaningless. Akin to the crash of ‘29, this can happen rapidly and catastrophically, and there are no contigency plans.
Despite the high popularity of the President and the Republican party, the mistrust in government is much higher than it was in the sixties, when many honestly did not believe that Richard Nixon could possibly lie to them. After Vietnam, Watergate, Lewinskygate(?), the last bizarre Presidential contest, the reservior of trust is very thin. If tragedy comes, as many in the military are constantly predicting, there is very little to prevent widescale panic, especially around money. People will gladly help each other out, rush into burning buildings, etc. But if the President asks people to keep their money in the market for the sake of America, most will not do it. Those who obey will lose and then later get out, adding to the avalance.
I have not yet begun to speculate as to what will emerge out of the chaos, but certainly there in no guarantee it will be peaceful or benevolent.
This system wide failure is unneccesary and undesireable. However unfair and unjust the current economic order is, an uncontrolled collapse would be extremely destructive and could allow for even less equitable and far less productive economic models to emerge. Ironically, the policies of the Bush administration, despite what appears to be an attempt to prevent terrorist attacks, are unfortunately provoking them. Even for the simple and selfish motive of self-preservation an attitude of compassion needs to be displayed quickly, abundantly and very publically. The impression the United States is making on the Islamic world is particularly destabilizing.